Στρατής Μαζίδης
Την επόμενη ημέρα του πολέμου αναλύει το moonofalabama.org καθώς ο συριακός και ο ιρακινός στρατός ετοιμάζονται να συνθλίψουν το ISIS στα δύο τελευταία αστικά κέντρα που ελέγχει, την Αλ Μπουκαμάλ στη Συρία και την Αλ-Καίμ στο Ιράκ.
Η απελευθέρωση του Ντέιρ Εζόρ αποδεσμεύει δυνάμεις για το συριακό στρατό ενώ διασφαλίζει τις οδούς τροφοδοσίας του.
Όλοι πλέον συγκεντρώνονται στην επιχείρηση "Αυγή" για την απελευθέρωση της Αλ Μπουκαμάλ ενώ παράλληλα η Δαμασκός βλέπει με καχυποψία τις ΗΠΑ καθώς σημειώνει το MoA ότι οι τελευταίες δωροδόκησαν τους άνδρες τοπικών φυλών που μέχρι χθες πολεμούσαν με το ISIS να δηλώσουν πίστη στις κουρδικές SDF που αποτελούν το δεύτερο βραχίονα των Αμερικανών.
Ως εκ τούτου οι Ρώσοι επιστράτευσαν το βαρύ πυροβολικό με τα Τουπόλεφ και τα υποβρύχιο Κολπίνο / Βελίκυ Νόβγκοροντ για να διαλύσουν τις ισχυρές άμυνες που έχει στήσει το Ισλαμικό Κράτος στο δρόμο για την Αλ Μπουκαμάλ.
Εν συνεχεία σημειώνει το ΜοΑ θα εκκαθαρίσει η Συρία από τους τρομοκράτες της Αλ Κάιντα στο Ιντλίμπ όπου έχει διαμηνυθεί στους Κούρδους να υποχωρήσουν βορειότερα στην Αφρίν.
Κατόπιν εκτιμά το ΜοΑ θα ακολουθήσει η σειρά των Κούρδων, οι οποίοι θα πρέπει στο Ιράκ να αποδεχθούν τους όρους της Βαγδάτης, διαφορετικά δε θα μπορέσουν να σταθούν σε πόλεμο. Την ίδια εικόνα βλέπει η αμερικάνικη ιστοσελίδα και στη Συρία υπογραμμίζοντας την πάγια θέση της Δαμασκού για αποκατάσταση της κυριαρχίας της χώρας από άκρη σε άκρη.
Ακολουθεί η ενδιαφέρουσα ανάλυση:
Today the Syrian Arab Army liberated the city of Deir Ezzor
from ISIS. The last resistance ended over night. The remaining ISIS
fighters tried to flee north across the Euphrates towards the area held
by U.S. proxy forces. Most of them were not successful in their
attempts. It will take another few days to remove the remaining
improvised mines in the city and to secure the ammunition and weapons
ISIS abandoned.
For five years a contingent of some 5-7,000 Syrian soldiers and
policemen had held a part of Deir Ezzor city first against Jabhat
al-Nusra and then against ISIS. They secured the life of some 100,000
civilian inhabitants. Many soldiers and civilians died. Despite intense
attempts and U.S. air support
ISIS did not manage to dislodge the Syrian government forces. Only two
month ago a serious SAA attempt to relief the city from the outside was
launched. It went remarkably well. The defense of Deir Ezzor and its
relief deserve an epic novel.
With Deir Ezzor cleared the supply lines of the Syrian army are
secured and the push along the Euphrates towards the last urban area
held by ISIS can proceed.
The twin-cities of Abu Kamal (al-Bukamal) in Syria and al-Qaim in
Iraq are ISIS' last urban refuge. The cities are on the south site of
the Euphrates with the important border crossing between them. Coming
from the east Iraqi government troops retook the al-Qaim crossing today.
They now control the border and are breaking into the city proper.
Syrian government forces approach Abu Kamal from the north-west and from
south-east. These forces still have to cross some 30 kilometers of
desert area. ISIS had prepared strong defense lines and the SAA progress
was slower than hoped. During the last three days the Russian air force
has flown a strong bombing campaign against those ISIS lines. The
Lebanese Hizbullah has re-injected several thousand fighters into Syria
to push the campaign. The Iraqi and Syrian forces are tightly
coordinating and will move together to take Abu Kamal during the next
two or three days.
The U.S. proxy forces north of the Euphrates announced that they had
taken several oil-fields north of the river and were also progressing
towards Abu Kamal. But there was little if any fighting. Instead the
U.S. is bribing the local tribes in the area with Saudi money. These tribes had earlier sworn allegiance to ISIS and were part of its forces. When they switch sides
the U.S. claims to be in control of the land they hold. The Syrian
government and its allies fear that the U.S. is currently trying a
similar stunt with the whole city of Bukamal itself. It could then claim
to have control over the border crossing towards Iraq and severe that
important line of communication. A race is on to prevent that.
Two reliable journalists, Ibrahim Al Amin of Al-Akhbar and Elijam Magnier of Al-Rai report
(auto-translated) that a high level CIA official recently visited
Damascus to inquire about missing U.S. intelligence agents. The official
asserted the U.S. has no design for permanent bases in Syria and is
only there to defeat ISIS. The official did not say how many additional
years "defeating ISIS" would take.
Damascus is extremely suspicious of any U.S. design on Syria and will
not let down its guard. The senior U.S. intelligence official was not
received by higher Syrian government officials. Damascus demands an open
diplomatic exchange with Washington.
The Iraqi government has reestablished its rule over the country. It insists
on its national sovereignty and central control of the country. The
Kurdish region in the north will have to agree with Baghdad's central
control over the borders and foreign relations. If it does not submit
the Iraqi Kurds will find themselves in a war with the Iraqi army which
they are sure to lose. Baghdad will not be open to Iranian or U.S.
control.
The Syrian government is likewise determined to regain control over
the whole country. There will be no Turkish, Kurdish, Jordanian or
Israeli zones but one Syria. The war will continue until that is
achieved. Russian suggestions of a federation of the country have been
rejected. Moscow reportedly accepted that position.
The situation in other parts of Syria has changed little over the
last few weeks. The Turkish forces in Idleb have hunkered down in
defensive position around the Kurdish area of Efrin. Syrian government
forces prepare for, but have not yet launched, a wider Idleb campaign to
dislodge the al-Qaeda forces currently controlling the governate. The
Kurdish forces in the north-east have been told to peacefully move back
to their original areas. Should they not do so, in futile hope of
continued U.S. support, they will be attacked and defeated by the Syrian
state and its allies.
2017 has seen the end of ISIS in Syria and Iraq. 2018 will see the
end of al-Qaeda in Syria. 2019 will hopefully be the year that the
Kurdish expansion and all foreign designs on Syria will have been
defeated.
PS:
A small anecdote reflects the end of the "moderate rebels" propaganda scheme. A U.S. trained Syrian opposition movie director recently faked an assassination attempt on himself. He wanted to blame the Syrian regime and to gain more money for future propaganda fake productions. The Guardian and other #fakenews outlets had fallen for it: Syrian film-maker making prison torture movie survives 'assassination attempt'. It was all a stunt like most of the stuff the "rebels" produced. It seems that such work, which for years was sold as unassailable "truth" to western audiences, has finally found a proper end.
A small anecdote reflects the end of the "moderate rebels" propaganda scheme. A U.S. trained Syrian opposition movie director recently faked an assassination attempt on himself. He wanted to blame the Syrian regime and to gain more money for future propaganda fake productions. The Guardian and other #fakenews outlets had fallen for it: Syrian film-maker making prison torture movie survives 'assassination attempt'. It was all a stunt like most of the stuff the "rebels" produced. It seems that such work, which for years was sold as unassailable "truth" to western audiences, has finally found a proper end.